Group Discussions

 

Group C:

 

Themes/Issues of Discussion

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Risk Assessment in Privatisation and Public-Private

Partnership (Economic, Financial, Social, Political)

 

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Follow-up Recommendations for NAM CSSTC

 

 

Discussion Outcomes

 

1.  Political Risks

  Change in leadership

  Result of ‘bad’ privatisation and PPP

  Lack of transparency:

-  Lead to political unrest

-  Change of review/reversal

  Interference/manipulation of the system by privatised players (MNCs)

  Changing/Fluctuation legal commitment/political will

  Political unrest

  Nationalistic feeling/sovereignty issues

 

2.  Economic Risks

  Unsuitable pricing policy/mismatch of demand & supply in the long term

  Global/regional economic crisis

  Macro economic stability

  Lack of good corporate governance

  Unemployment --> trade unions --> social unrest

  Adverse fluctuation in exchange rates

 

3.  Financial Risks

  Valuation of assets:

-  Less --> government loses

-  More --> investors lose

  Companies with huge liabilities with existing government guarantees:

-  Government exposed to risk

-   Nature of the asset

 

4.  Social Risks

  Quality of good/services

  Lack of enforceable laws/faulty regulatory mechanism

  Social unrest

  Unaffordability/lack of the goods/services

  Sense of relative depravation

  Gap between expectations/fulfillment

 

5.  Institutional Risks

  Lack of regulatory framework in place

  Efficient judiciary

  Stage of development of financial system/capital market

 

6.  Political Risks - Recommendations

  Political will/commitment

  Political reform:

-  Good governmence

-  Transparency/accountability

  International regulations

  Develop clear guidelines/procedures for privatisation and PPP

  Massive PR/awareness

               Building of political consensus

 

7.  Economic Risks - Recommendations

  Sound economic policies

  Early warning system (networking of information amongst financial

    institutions)

  Good corporate governance

 

8.  Financial Risks - Recommendations

  Prudent/independent valuation of assets

  Proper development of financial institutions

 

9.  Social Risks - Recommendations

  Establish enforceable/good regulatory framework

  Social security safety net

  Establish standards/monitoring system

  Reward/punishment

               PR Awareness programme

 

10. Institutional Risks - Recommendations

  Proper regulatory framework

  Proper development of financial system/capital market

  Efficient judiciary